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LINGUISTIX&LOGIK, Tony Marmo's blog
Friday, 31 August 2007

Topic: Counterfactuals

COUNTERFACTUALS

AND EPISTEMIC PROBABILITY

By Richard Otte

Philosophers have often attempted to use counterfactual conditionals to analyze probability. This article focuses on counterfactual analyzes of epistemic probability by Alvin Plantinga and Peter van Inwagen. I argue that a certain type of counterfactual situation creates problems for these analyses. I then argue that Plantinga's intuition about the role of warrant in epistemic probability is mistaken. Both van Inwagen's and Plantinga's intuitions about epistemic probability are flawed.

Source: Online Papers in Philosophy



Posted by Tony Marmo at 18:27 BST
Updated: Friday, 31 August 2007 18:44 BST

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